MotoGP Misano----Spoilers

[Needle99]

I was thinking after the race that surely Redding was a lap down. Was an upside down race for sure.

[m9hundo]

JLo says if he wins the next 3 races he will clinch the championship regardless what Vale does. I haven't done the math to look into it yet.

[Triple J]

JLo says if he wins the next 3 races he will clinch the championship regardless what Vale does. I haven't done the math to look into it yet.

He says if he wins the remaining races (5), then it doesn't matter. Rossi is currently ahead by 23 points. The difference between 1st and 2nd is 5 points. So, to not worry about Rossi he has to reel off 5 in a row. Possible, but not likely.

He's still very much in it though. But...if Rossi finishes the next 5 races, there's a good chance he'll pick up #10. Completing an entire season without a DNF/DNS is a great way to win a championship! Since being in the premier class, Rossi has only had 2 seasons where he finished all races...and he won the WC both times.

[ducpainter]

Should be fun.

[Triple J]

For sure! It would be good with just JLo and Rossi. Throw in Marquez as spoiler, and it has the potential to be epic!

[m9hundo]

Well lets say the points are equal but JLo has more wins, technically JLo is the champ, I think he was maybe leaning towards that scenario

[Needle99]

I predict he will not win 5. 3 max. Even then 3 will be tough. Rossi can sit back and let MM spoil. That will however be tough for him to do.

[duccarlos]

We keep forgetting that MM is still around. Rossi can use him as a buffer. Now it's math time. Let's assume that Rossi decides that 3rd place is a good place to be, how many wins would it take for Jorghey to overtake Vale? The answer is he would need to win all 5. So Rossi can use the same logic and say that if he can get at least 1 second place finish and the rest 3rd, it won't matter what Jorghey does.

[m9hundo]

  great job duccarlos, I'm sure Vale's camp have crunched the numbers as well. Can't wait for the next race 

[1.21GW]

We keep forgetting that MM is still around. Rossi can use him as a buffer. Now it's math time. Let's assume that Rossi decides that 3rd place is a good place to be, how many wins would it take for Jorghey to overtake Vale? The answer is he would need to win all 5. So Rossi can use the same logic and say that if he can get at least 1 second place finish and the rest 3rd, it won't matter what Jorghey does.

Isn't the difference 23 pts?  And 1st to 3rd is 9 points.  So by my math, 3 races finished JL-MM-VR are enough for Jorge to take the lead.



But regardless, I think with 5 races remaining, we are getting a little ahead of ourselves on doing the math.  So much can happen.  In the end, Rossi just has to make sure not to crash out of any races and he will ensure he at least has a chance (if not the lead) with 2 races to go.  Then the math speculation game gets fun.

[duccarlos]

I was assuming the worse. I tried to keep it simple, but now I'm forced to get more into it. This is the math I used:

First = 25pts
Third = 16pts

16*5 = 80pts then add the 23pts = 103

To make up those 103pts Jorghey would need 3 wins, a third and a forth. The problem is that we're assuming Rossi settles for 3rd. If Jorghey is in 3rd, it is reasonable to believe that Rossi is probably finishing in a higher position. This is all assuming that the races are only between MM, Jorghey and Vale. So... using that logic, if MM wins the races that Jorghey does not, he would need to finish second to Rossi's third and never finish behind Rossi.

[1.21GW]

I think my math is easier.   

[OT]

Been away for a few days....

Rossi isn't in anyone's head...the rain is in JLo's head though.

Had it stayed dry he would most likely have crushed everyone.

Fox broadcast showed Lorenzo's pit crew putting up the board and directing him in to change to the dry bike for, I believe, two laps - but, he chose to stay out and follow Rossi.  Marquez had gone in yet Lorenzo kept going around....

That is why I believe Rossi's tactics confused Lorenzo and, essentially, got to him....if it was Lorenzo's fear of the wet that drove him, then it sure looks like Rossi played on that fear by staying out at the risk of trashing his own front time, which was evident on TV....just sayin'

[bdfinally]

Anyone know off hand how many engines each has gone through so far this year?

[ducpainter]

I looked on the motogp site and there'[s no mention of engine usage at all.

Must not be a problem.